The Wealth of Gold: Investing in a timeless asset

The Wealth of Gold: Investing in a timeless asset

Updated on Economy, Investing

As investors navigate through unpredictable and volatile economic times, it is essential to consider asset classes that can provide a level of stability and protection against market fluctuations. One such asset that has stood the test of time is gold. For centuries, gold has been a symbol of wealth and has played an essential role in the global economy.  Why Investors Turn to Gold During Volatile Times Gold has long been considered a safe haven asset, as it has maintained its value throughout history. When the stock market experiences downturns or geopolitical tensions escalate, investors often flock to gold as a way to protect their portfolios against market fluctuations. The price of gold typically moves in the opposite direction of the stock market, making it a valuable hedge against economic uncertainty. Moreover, gold is not subject to the same risks as other investments such as bonds or stocks, making it a reliable store of value. Benefits and Consequences of Investing in Gold The primary benefit of investing in gold is its ability to provide a level of diversification to an investment portfolio. By including gold in a portfolio, investors can reduce their exposure to other assets, thus lowering overall risk. Additionally, gold is a tangible asset that investors can physically hold, making it an appealing option for those who prefer assets they can see and touch. However, investing in gold also comes with some drawbacks. The most significant risk associated with investing in gold is its volatility. While gold has maintained its value over time, its price can still fluctuate significantly over shorter periods. Furthermore, investing in gold does not provide a source of income, as it does not pay dividends or interest. Investors looking for regular income streams should consider other investments, such as bonds or stocks that offer dividend payouts. Interesting Facts About Gold Gold has been used as a form of currency for thousands of years. In ancient times, individuals and countries stockpiled gold as a way to preserve their wealth. For instance, during the California Gold Rush in the mid-1800s, the US government established the first national gold reserve to help stabilize the economy. Similarly, during World War II, countries like the US and the UK stockpiled gold to finance their war efforts. Getting Exposure to Gold Investors have several options to get exposure to gold. The most common way is to invest in physical gold, such as gold coins or bars. However, buying physical gold can be expensive, and investors also need to pay for storage and insurance costs. An alternative option is to invest in gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which track the price of gold and offer investors an easy way to invest in gold without the hassle of buying physical gold. Finally, investors can also invest in gold mining stocks, which provide exposure to the gold industry and can potentially offer higher returns than investing in physical gold or gold ETFs. While investing in gold can offer protection against market fluctuations and diversify an investment portfolio, it is crucial for investors to carefully consider the risks and benefits associated with this asset class. By weighing the pros and cons and assessing how gold aligns with their investment objectives, investors can make informed decisions about whether to include this timeless asset in their investment strategy.   The information provided in this article is general in nature only and does not constitute personal financial advice.

Quarterly Economic Update: January-March 2022

Quarterly Economic Update: January-March 2022

Updated on COVID-19, Economy, Investing

Robust domestic economic growth Australia is rebounding from the pandemic, with domestic economic growth forecast to reach 3.5 per cent this financial year. Some analysts predict it might be even stronger, possibly reaching as high as 4 per cent. Driven by Government spending Much of this is due to the lingering impact of the Federal Government’s massive $343 billion health and economic pandemic support packages, as well as further spending in response to recent floods in New South Wales and Queensland. The Government is also spending some $18 billion on infrastructure, mostly rail and road improvements, in an attempt to boost productivity and efficiencies throughout the economy, particularly in the regions. Tightening geo-political tensions in Asia and around the world has prompted the Government to earmark as much spending again on strategic defence measures, including a new naval submarine base on the east coast. Spurred by higher commodity prices The sudden, and largely unexpected, war in Ukraine has prompted a spike in oil prices as a shadow falls over the continued supply of Russian oil and gas to Western Europe. While prices will ease with the arrival of the Northern summer, they are expected to remain stubbornly high. The war, along with continued supply interruptions due to the pandemic’s lingering impact on world trade, means prices for key commodities such as iron ore, coal, and wheat will remain high for the foreseeable future. For Australia, this is, on balance, good news, meaning the price we are paid for key exports will remain strong, driving both domestic profits and Government tax revenue higher. Employment is exploding In line with this strong level of economic growth, domestic unemployment is set to fall to 3.75 per cent in the coming months, its lowest level in some 50 years. Meanwhile, whole sectors, such as the aged care and child-minding sectors and a number of agricultural sectors, are reporting desperate staff shortages, prompting calls to lift migration levels and allow more temporary workers into the country. Nonetheless, low wage growth continues to dog the economy. While the Government is forecasting quarterly wage growth of 3.25 per cent by the middle of next year, this is still below the expected inflation rate, meaning most Australians will face little relief from higher living costs. However, the continued strength of Government spending, combined with prevailing strong terms of trade, should boost profits across the board, leading to higher returns for investors. Despite some clouds on the horizon As always, there are clouds on the horizon. The United States was already facing inflationary pressures, and the impact of the Ukraine war on oil prices is likely to push the US inflation rate higher still, possibly touching 7.9 per cent this year. The US Federal Reserve has started to pull monetary policy back in with a series of interest rate hikes, fanning fears that the US economy may fall into recession later this year. The US is not alone. The Australian Federal Treasury expects global trade bottlenecks (the war in Ukraine and higher oil and food prices) to prompt an uptick in the local inflation rate above the Reserve Bank’s preferred inflation band of 2.5 to 3 per cent. Rising inflation is, in turn, spurring fears of a domestic interest rate hike, with many analysts expecting the cash rate to increase by one full percentage point, which could cause home loan rates to rise across the country.   The information provided in this article is general in nature only and does not constitute personal financial advice.

Quarterly Economic Update: October-December 2021

Quarterly Economic Update: October-December 2021

Updated on COVID-19, Economy, Investing

Coronavirus Victoria and New South Wales saw their economies roar back to life as they emerged from lockdown just in time for a new kid to arrive on the coronavirus block. Omicron spread around the world seemingly within days knocking Delta off the front pages. Appearing to cause less severe disease than previous strains, and with Australia achieving high rates of immunisation, state governments held off resorting to lockdowns in an attempt to minimise financial carnage on businesses and workers.  All this battling against the virus comes at an enormous cost. The mid-year budget update forecasts annual deficits of around $100 billion for the next few years, no surplus over the next ten years, and gross debt of $1.2 trillion by 2024-2025. Jobs galore The unemployment rate dipped to 4.6% in November as an additional 366,100 people joined the ranks of the employed. The under-employment rate fell 2% to 7.5%, and many employers reported difficulties in finding staff. Homebuyer hopes Homebuyers gained a little power over sellers towards the end of the year as a surge in listings saw auction clearance rates in Melbourne and Sydney drop to 66% and 73% respectively. If this extra supply is maintained it should help to cool what has been a very hot property market. COP this The Covid-delayed climate change conference COP26 was finally held in Glasgow, and Australia joined the large number of countries aiming to reach net zero carbon emissions by 2050. Good progress was made in some areas, such as reducing methane emissions, ending deforestation and, for some countries, phasing down coal. However, modelling predicts that if all current commitments are fulfilled we will still see temperatures rise by 2.4 degrees. This is well short of the Paris Agreement goal to limit warming to 2 degrees, and preferably 1.5 degrees. The Glasgow Climate pact calls on nations to “strengthen their pledges to reduce emissions by the end of 2022.” Expensive energy Major energy users suffered from a big spike in the costs of both coal and natural gas during the quarter. Prices corrected abruptly in November, but still remained much higher than at the start of the year. Oil prices were also higher, nudging US$85 per barrel during October and November. Aside from hitting consumers’ petrol and home energy bills, high energy prices also led to an increase in the cost of, and shortages of urea – a chemical that is critical to the production of fertilizer (and therefore food) and to keeping diesel trucks on the road. Ups and downs The volatility in the value of the Aussie dollar against major currencies continued for the quarter. It traded between 70 US cents and 75 US cents in line with its long-term trend. We gained more than 3.7% against the Euro and Yen, and held ground against the British Pound. The local share market failed to excite, tracking sideways before putting on a small end of year spurt that saw the S&P ASX 200 close the quarter up 1.5%. It was a different story for US stocks. The S&P500 closed out the year at a record high after lifting nearly 11% for the quarter. The Nasdaq was close behind with a 9% gain.   The information provided in this article is general in nature only and does not constitute personal financial advice.

Positioning your portfolio in turbulent times

Positioning your portfolio in turbulent times

Updated on Finance, Investing, Superannuation

As any experienced investor knows, all investment markets have their ups and downs. Regardless of investor experience, turbulent times are a cause of anxiety, and that can lead to poor decision-making. So, if turbulent markets are inevitable, even if their timing is not predictable, how should portfolios be positioned in anticipation of and in response to market volatility? What’s your objective? First up, it’s important to go back to your investment objective. Is it to grow wealth over the medium to long term? Or are you more concerned with preserving capital? Your objective also needs to take account of your risk profile. With your risk tolerance and objectives clarified, it’s time to get to grips with asset allocation. This is the process of deciding what proportion of your portfolio will be allocated to each of the major asset classes: cash, fixed interest, property and shares. Asset allocation is the engine room of your portfolio. The amount that you apportion to the major asset classes has the biggest effect on your portfolio performance. It has a greater bearing on your returns than individual asset selection. Asset allocation is also your key risk management tool, the more you allocate to shares and property the greater the volatility, and therefore the risk. However, in this context, risk isn’t always a bad thing. A higher risk portfolio may at times fall more in value than a lower risks portfolio, but over the long term it is also more likely to generate higher returns. Oops, too late Unfortunately, the motivation to position a portfolio for turbulent times is often a sudden upset in investment markets. But this doesn’t mean it’s too late to do anything. If your investment objectives and risk tolerance haven’t changed, rebalancing your portfolio (i.e. bringing the asset allocation back to its ideal position) may help to position it for the next upswing in investment markets. Waiting out the storms While positioning can help with portfolio risk management, many investors opt to wait out any storms. Why? Because for all the ups and downs, bull markets and bear markets, bubbles and crashes, major share markets have delivered solid long-term growth. In fact, it has been claimed that investors have lost more money trying to anticipate corrections, than they would have lost in riding out actual corrections. A detached view Concerned about the financial outlook and your portfolio’s current position? We can provide an impartial assessment of your portfolio, help you identify your objectives and your risk tolerance, and recommend investments to help you weather the turbulent times. Talk to us today to get started.     The information provided in this article is general in nature only and does not constitute personal financial advice.

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