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Economic Update: April-June 2021

Economic Update: April-June 2021

Updated on COVID-19, Economy

Employment surprise JobKeeper was a cornerstone of Australia’s response to the coronavirus pandemic. It provided millions of Australians with an ongoing income and kept thousands of businesses afloat, so when it came to an end in March expectations were that there would be a sharp spike in unemployment. One estimate was that 150,000 workers would lose their jobs. Happily, that wasn’t what happened. From March to April the unemployment rate dropped from 5.7% to 5.5%, then fell to just 5.1% in May. That’s below the 5.2% that applied in January 2020 before the pandemic hit, and an amazing outcome given the damage that COVID-19 continues to inflict on a virus-weary world. Housing continued to sizzle… Aspiring homeowners and upsizers endured another quarter of woe as home prices continued to soar. Nationally, dwelling prices were up 6.1% for the quarter and 13.5% for the year, with houses outperforming units. Of course, on the other side of the equation are homeowners, many of whom are delighted by the significant boost to their wealth. Continuing low interest rates remain the key driver, but other issues have played a part, including stamp duty discounts and households redirecting the cash they would otherwise have spent on overseas holidays. Lockdowns last year also affected the normal supply of property leading to pent-up demand. As subsidies are rolled back, supply and demand normalise and if population growth remains low, property price growth may well come back to ‘normal’ levels. And despite the RBA not expecting to raise interest rates until at least 2024, some economists are pointing to the low unemployment figures to predict that interest rates may begin to rise by the end of 2022. There is also growing speculation that the RBA and APRA will lift lending standards (e.g. requiring lower loan to valuation ratios) in order to rein in galloping price growth. …as did share markets Global markets performed strongly over the quarter with many setting record highs. Locally the S&P/ASX200 rose 7.7%, beating the MSCI All-Country World Equity Index, which was up 6.9%. Tech shares were back in the lead with the NASDAQ gaining 11.2%, while the S&P500 rose steadily to gain 8.6%. The Aussie dollar fell slightly against the major currencies weakening late in the quarter following talk that the next move in US interest rates may be up. Also… – Workers receiving the minimum wage will see a boost to their pay packets from July, with the minimum wage rising by 2.5% to $772.60 per week or $20.33 per hour. – Most people will see the superannuation guarantee (SG) payment from their employers rise by 0.5% to 10% of normal wages. This is one step on the path to raising the SG to 12% by 2025. – According to Credit Suisse, nearly one in ten Australians are now millionaires. Twenty years ago the figure was less than 1%. Of course a million dollars today doesn’t have the buying power it did 20 years ago, but only Switzerland has more millionaires per capita than we do. – Massive infrastructure projects and home renovation booms have caused a global shortage of building materials. An indicator, perhaps, that some COVID-19 stimulus measures have been a tad overdone?   The information provided in this article is general in nature only and does not constitute personal financial advice.

Is your number up this tax time? Claims the ATO will scrutinise

Is your number up this tax time? Claims the ATO will scrutinise

Updated on Tax

CPA Australia No one likes being treated as just a number, but with millions of returns and tens of billions of dollars at stake, that’s the reality when it comes to how the Australian Taxation Office (ATO) assesses tax returns. The ATO uses data-driven profiles based on things like employment type and financial investments to identify where some people may be pushing the boundaries. If your claims are disproportionate to what the ATO would expect from someone in a similar job to you, or with similar financial investments, you may be asked to provide additional evidence to validate your claims. That’s why CPA Australia is urging Aussies to be thorough with their tax returns, including declaring all earnings and having evidence to back up any deductions. Anything that stands out from the crowd may attract the ATO’s attention. “It’s important that everyone pays the right amount of tax and claims what they are entitled to,” said CPA Australia spokesperson Gavan Ord. “The ATO uses highly sophisticated analytics to scrutinise all claims, including those relating to working from home and motor vehicle expenses, income from rental properties, as well as undeclared income from investments like cryptocurrency. “Your tax return is your personal responsibility, and you should be as thorough as possible when declaring your income and claiming deductions. Failure to properly declare all of your income, or over-the-top expense claims, may set off alarm bells and your claims could be rejected if you don’t have the evidence.” Work-related expenses  Work-related deductions are the biggest deduction in most Australians’ tax returns, and some individuals may be tempted to overstate their expense claims in this area. Others may put in claims without sufficient evidence to support them. The ATO is focused on ensuring the correct apportioning of expenses between work and private use, including when you work from home. Keeping a diary of all your work-related activity and having the corresponding receipts is crucial. Your record should include: There are two ways to calculate working from home deductions – the fixed rate method (when you can claim a set rate of 67 cents for every hour worked from home) and the actual cost method. Having records mean you can choose which works best based on your individual circumstances. Motor vehicle expenses There are two methods of claiming a tax deduction for motor vehicle use for work purposes, but whichever is used, you must ensure the claim is accurate and properly evidenced, whether it’s for fuel, servicing or lease payments. If you use a motor vehicle for both business and private use, you must be able to correctly identify and justify the percentage you are claiming as business use. The percentage that is for private use isn’t claimable. To claim accurately, you will need to use a logbook or diary to record private versus business travel. Travelling from home to work is considered private use, unless you are a home-based business and your trip was for business purposes. Income from rental properties For rental property claims, the ATO is focusing on owners who make claims for renovations as repairs. Repairs to the property because of wear and tear or damage from tenants are tax deductible. However, if the work results in an improvement rather than just repairing damage, or results in the replacement of an asset, the expenses will be capital in nature and you can only claim a depreciation expense, not for the entire cost in the year it was spent. Claiming mortgage interest in full when there were drawdowns for private purposes, as well as declaring net income after expenses from annual rental summary of real estate as gross income, will also be under the microscope. Undeclared income (e.g. crypto profits) The ATO is also focused on undeclared income, now including money made from cryptocurrency. The most common use of crypto is as an investment, in which case the crypto asset is subject to capital gains tax (CGT). If you acquire a crypto asset as an investment, transactions such as disposal, exchange or swaps are a CGT event, and you may make a capital gain. If you hold the crypto asset as an investment, it will not be exempt from CGT as a personal use asset. You will make a capital gain if the proceeds from the disposal of your crypto asset is more than its cost base. To work out if you made a capital gain or capital loss from each CGT event, keep your records for each crypto asset and your transactions. You may be able to reduce capital gains using the CGT discount if you hold your crypto asset for at least 12 months. Source: CPA Australia The information provided in this article is general in nature only and does not constitute personal financial advice.  

What does a good financial adviser do?

What does a good financial adviser do?

Updated on Aged Care, Budgeting, Economy, Finance, Insurance, Investing, Retirement, Superannuation

Some people may think that a financial adviser’s role is to forecast the direction of the share market from month to month and invest clients’ money accordingly. This is not the reality, of course. Investments are only one small part of what your financial adviser can provide for you. Consider for a moment the number of websites, newsprint and broadcast time dedicated to financial topics these days. Australians seem to have an insatiable appetite for understanding finance. Whether it’s the latest share market activity, economic news or the constantly changing tax and superannuation rules, a licenced financial adviser can help answer your burning questions and save you the hassle of finding it yourself. Usually, the benefit you receive from a financial adviser can be spelt out in dollar terms. It might be the income tax you have saved by re-structuring your salary, or a new concession from the Australian Tax Office (ATO) or Centrelink that you didn’t know you could get. The finance section of your newspaper or online magazine probably includes a regular “advice” or “Q & A” column. By law, these columns must warn readers that the advice does not consider your personal situation or needs, and you should consider its appropriateness before acting. In setting your financial strategy, a good financial adviser will take the time to get to know you and your circumstances. This means that everything recommended to you—the investment portfolio, super contribution strategies, savings plans and insurance advice—is tailored to your personal needs, goals, and tolerance to risk. As the years go by, your financial strategies will need adjusting due to changes in the broader environment or something closer to home. Whatever the case, your adviser is there to help you make the most of the good times and the bad. And a regular financial review doesn’t always mean major changes, but at least you’ll know that you’re on the right track – and not having to do it alone. Quality, knowledgeable advice is critical, and wherever you are on your financial path, now is always the best time to talk to us.   The information provided in this article is general in nature only and does not constitute personal financial advice.

Making interest-free deals work for you

Making interest-free deals work for you

Updated on Finance

They have been around for decades, but interest-free deals can still be confusing and costly when not managed correctly. Excitable advertising can make these offers almost too good to refuse, particularly with longer terms applying to higher levels of finance. For example, to get five years’ interest-free on purchases from some retailers, the minimum spend is $1,000. This simple condition could turn a necessary purchase of say, a new fridge, into a multiple purchase prompted by the seemingly innocent question, “do you need to upgrade your TV?”. Five years up your sleeve to pay off a larger purchase may sound too tempting to pass up but never forget the age-tested maxim “buyer beware”. In the case of interest-free it’s not always as simple as it sounds. How do these deals make money? Not to be confused with the newer “buy now, pay later” products where no interest is ever charged, interest-free deals simply defer the interest to the end of the promotional period and then it appears with guns blazing! Interest will be charged on any outstanding amount at ridiculously high levels, often close to 30% per annum. For instance, if you had a loan of $3,000, how would you feel about paying an extra $1,000 interest per year? That’s not smart buying. Although some do, the credit provider is not obligated to warn that the interest-free period is ending. It’s up to you to calculate the monthly repayments to clear the debt during the interest-free period and pay that amount – or more if you can. It’s not just interest It may seem attractive but having a longer period to pay off a purchase will cost you more, particularly when it’s for a relatively inexpensive item, e.g. a $1,000 TV. The monthly account-keeping fee will add up considerably over a longer period. Five years (60 months) at $5.95 is an extra $357 in fees. Reducing the period of the loan will save you money on these fees. There are also late payment fees if you miss the monthly due date. As part of the deal, you will usually be provided with a store card or another credit card for this purchase. The card credit limit may be much higher than your initial purchase as a way to encourage you to spend more, so if you don’t need the extra credit ask for the card limit to match the full purchase price when completing the application. The salesman may explain that you might not be able to increase it later but take control and stick to your decision. The card could also have an annual fee so if you repay the total balance within the first 12 months and don’t plan to use it for another purchase make a note to cancel it before the provider charges another annual fee. Buying smart If you intend to buy using an interest-free offer, check your budget and make sure you can repay the entire purchase price (plus fees) before the expiry of the interest-free period. Managed well, interest will be your friend. If not, it will be a very expensive enemy. Looking to learn more about interest? Check out our free Understanding Credit Cards course – we’ll tell you what you need to know to ensure you never let your credit card get the best of you!   This is general information only

Quarterly Economic Update: July-September 2024 

Quarterly Economic Update: July-September 2024 

Economy, Finance, Investing

The Australian economy is still growing, but things are moving slower than usual, and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is being cautious with any changes to interest rates. They’re waiting for inflation to settle before taking further action.  GDP Growth: Slowly But Surely  While the economy is growing, it’s not as fast as we might like. Over the June quarter, the economy expanded by just 0.2%, with a 1.5% growth over the financial year. While these numbers sound positive, when you factor in Australia’s growing population, the story changes. For the sixth quarter in a row, GDP per capita (which looks at economic growth per person) has actually fallen. This shows that while Australia as a whole is growing, individuals may not feel that impact, especially with rising costs of living.  Interest Rates: Holding Steady  In September, the RBA decided to keep interest rates on hold at 4.35%, with the next decision due in November. While the US recently cut rates, Australia hasn’t followed suit, and it’s unlikely we’ll see any rate cuts before Christmas. The RBA is holding off to ensure inflation is well under control, despite it being much lower than the peak in 2022.  Inflation: Better But Still Stubborn  Annual inflation hit 3.8% in the June quarter, slightly up from March. However, there’s good news: underlying inflation (which strips out the more volatile price changes) has been falling for six straight quarters, down from its peak of 6.8% in late 2022. That said, prices for everyday goods remain high, and the overall cost of living is still squeezing households.  Households Are Tightening Their Belts  With cost-of-living pressures building, many Australians are cutting back on things like travel and entertainment. Even grocery spending is down, with households trimming their food budgets by 1%. However, spending on household goods, like furniture and appliances, increased by 4%, which propped up discretionary spending overall.  Housing Market: Prices Still Going Up  The property market remains strong, with housing values continuing to rise across Australia, although at a slower pace than before. CoreLogic reports that the national Home Value Index rose by 0.5% in August and a further 0.4% in September. Despite the cost of living, demand for property remains high, which is keeping prices elevated.  Jobs Market: Still Tight, But Productivity Is Falling  Australia’s unemployment rate remains low, sitting at 4.1% as of June, which is historically strong. However, total hours worked rose only slightly, and productivity—measured by GDP per hour worked—fell by 0.8%. While jobs remain secure for many Australians, people are working more for less output, and this could become a concern for long-term economic stability.  Global Outlook: Uncertainty Ahead  Globally, central banks are starting to look at easing monetary policies, but it’s still unclear how much they’ll ease up. Ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, Ukraine, and northern Africa are causing further instability. Meanwhile, Asia’s economy, a key trading partner for Australia, is expected to slow in 2024, which could have a knock-on effect on our own economic growth.  What It All Means for You  For everyday Australians, the combination of high interest rates, sticky inflation, and rising living costs means it’s more important than ever to manage your finances carefully. Mortgage holders won’t see relief from rate cuts soon, and households should continue to be mindful of their budgets, especially with the cost of essentials like groceries and petrol still fluctuating.  If you’re feeling the pinch, now is a good time to seek professional advice and ensure you have a financial plan in place that helps you navigate these uncertain times.  The information provided in this article is general in nature only and does not constitute personal financial advice.  

How to create a Debt Repayment Plan

How to create a Debt Repayment Plan

Budgeting, Finance, Superannuation

Debt can be overwhelming and stressful, but creating a plan to pay it off can help ease that burden. In Australia, household debt is on the rise, with the average household owing over $260,000 in 2021, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics. If you’re struggling with debt, here are some tips and strategies for creating a debt repayment plan. Create a Budget The first step in creating a debt repayment plan is to create a budget. This will help you understand where your money is going and where you can cut back on expenses. List all of your income and expenses, including bills, rent or mortgage payments, groceries, and any other expenses. Once you have a clear picture of your finances, you can start to identify areas where you can save money. Prioritise High-Interest Debt If you have multiple debts, it’s important to prioritise the ones with the highest interest rates. These debts are costing you the most money in interest charges, so paying them off first will save you money in the long run. Make minimum payments on all of your debts, and put any extra money towards the one with the highest interest rate. Automate Payments Automating your debt payments can help ensure that you don’t miss any payments and incur late fees. Set up automatic payments for the minimum payments on all of your debts, and then add extra payments as you can afford them. This will also help you stay on track with your debt repayment plan. Choose a Repayment Strategy There are different methods of debt repayment, such as the snowball and avalanche methods. The snowball method involves paying off the smallest debt first, while the avalanche method involves paying off the debt with the highest interest rate first. Choose the method that works best for your situation, and stick to it. Case Study Let’s compare two scenarios to see how creating a debt repayment plan can make a difference. Scenario 1: Sarah has $10,000 in credit card debt, with an interest rate of 20%. She is making minimum payments of $200 per month, but is struggling to make progress on paying off the debt. Scenario 2: John has the same amount of credit card debt, but has created a debt repayment plan. He is making minimum payments of $200 per month, but has also cut back on expenses and is putting an extra $200 per month towards the debt. He is using the avalanche method, and has prioritised the credit card with the highest interest rate of 25%. After one year, Sarah will still have $8,360 in credit card debt, and will have paid $1,440 in interest charges. In contrast, John will have paid off $4,800 of his debt, and will have saved $1,200 in interest charges. Creating a debt repayment plan can make a big difference in your financial situation. By creating a budget, prioritising high-interest debt, automating payments, and choosing a repayment strategy, you can take control of your debt and work towards becoming debt-free. If you need help creating a debt repayment plan, speak with our advisers who can provide guidance and support.   The information provided in this article is general in nature only and does not constitute personal financial advice.