COVID-19 Economic Update

15 July, 202017 September, 2021 Updated on17 September, 2021 COVID-19, Finance

During the last quarter one story has dominated the news – COVID-19. By the end of June at least 10 million people had contracted the disease, and over 500,000 had died. With 8,000 cases and 104 deaths, Australia was amongst the countries that have been most successful in limiting its spread. However, this success came with a major cost. By June, 800,000 fewer people were on the nation’s payrolls than at the start of the pandemic. The travel, hospitality and entertainment sectors were particularly hard-hit.

One consequence of this major loss of employment is that many people took advantage of the ability to withdraw up to $10,000 from their superannuation prior to the end of June. As of mid-June, over 2.3 million people had applied, with nearly $16 billion worth of withdrawals processed. A further $10,000 can be withdrawn in the new financial year. While this will prove a real lifeline for the many people who need the money now, those who do withdraw the maximum amounts are likely to be tens of thousands of dollars worse off in retirement, with younger people facing the biggest losses.

Key numbers
Perhaps surprisingly, investment markets took an optimistic view of the long-term financial consequences of COVID-19. While not returning to its record highs, the S&P ASX200 index rose 16% over the quarter, a little behind the MSCI All-Country World Equity Index (up 18.7%) and the US S&P500 (up 18%). However, the real action was on the tech-heavy NASDAQ, which lifted 30.6% over the three months to set a new high.

The RBA cash rate stayed at 0.25%, with no great expectations of a change anytime soon.

The Aussie dollar rose steadily, increasing from 61.7 to 69.1 US cents from the end of March until end of June. It enjoyed similar gains against the British Pound and Japanese Yen, and a slightly smaller gain against the Euro. While there are many factors that influence the value of the dollar, this last quarter saw it closely following the fortunes of one of our major export commodities – iron ore.

What next?
COVID-19 is likely to remain the dominant story for some time yet. Following the initial lockdown, countries around the world, Australia included, are conducting something of an experiment in trying to ease restrictions without triggering ‘second waves’ or other outbreaks. Events in Victoria have shown how challenging this can be, but successfully lifting lockdowns is a critical step towards restoring anything resembling normal economic activity.

Another challenge facing the federal government is how to continue to support the millions of people on the JobKeeper allowance and the JobSeeker supplement. With these programs due to end in September, there is concern that their sudden cessation will deliver another blow to the economy.

The information provided in this article is general in nature only and does not constitute personal financial advice.

How to create a Debt Repayment Plan

29 March, 202329 March, 2023 Budgeting, Finance, Superannuation

Debt can be overwhelming and stressful, but creating a plan to pay it off can help ease that burden. In Australia, household debt is on the rise, with the average household owing over $260,000 in 2021, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics. If you’re struggling with debt, here are some tips and strategies for creating a debt repayment plan. Create a Budget The first step in creating a debt repayment plan is to create a budget. This will help you understand where your money is going and where you can cut back on expenses. List all of your income and expenses, including bills, rent or mortgage payments, groceries, and any other expenses. Once you have a clear picture of your finances, you can start to identify areas where you can save money. Prioritise High-Interest Debt If you have multiple debts, it’s important to prioritise the ones with the highest interest rates. These debts are costing you the most money in interest charges, so paying them off first will save you money in the long run. Make minimum payments on all of your debts, and put any extra money towards the one with the highest interest rate. Automate Payments Automating your debt payments can help ensure that you don’t miss any payments and incur late fees. Set up automatic payments for the minimum payments on all of your debts, and then add extra payments as you can afford them. This will also help you stay on track with your debt repayment plan. Choose a Repayment Strategy There are different methods of debt repayment, such as the snowball and avalanche methods. The snowball method involves paying off the smallest debt first, while the avalanche method involves paying off the debt with the highest interest rate first. Choose the method that works best for your situation, and stick to it. Case Study Let’s compare two scenarios to see how creating a debt repayment plan can make a difference. Scenario 1: Sarah has $10,000 in credit card debt, with an interest rate of 20%. She is making minimum payments of $200 per month, but is struggling to make progress on paying off the debt. Scenario 2: John has the same amount of credit card debt, but has created a debt repayment plan. He is making minimum payments of $200 per month, but has also cut back on expenses and is putting an extra $200 per month towards the debt. He is using the avalanche method, and has prioritised the credit card with the highest interest rate of 25%. After one year, Sarah will still have $8,360 in credit card debt, and will have paid $1,440 in interest charges. In contrast, John will have paid off $4,800 of his debt, and will have saved $1,200 in interest charges. Creating a debt repayment plan can make a big difference in your financial situation. By creating a budget, prioritising high-interest debt, automating payments, and choosing a repayment strategy, you can take control of your debt and work towards becoming debt-free. If you need help creating a debt repayment plan, speak with our advisers who can provide guidance and support. The information provided in this article is general in nature only and does not constitute personal financial advice.

Trauma insurance fills the gaps

14 August, 20198 September, 2022 Updated on8 September, 2022 Finance

According to an Australian Bureau of Statistics report published in September 2018, cancer is the most common cause of death in Australia accounting for more than 29,000 fatalities in 2017. Incredibly, thousands of Australians are underinsured or have no insurance in place to cover the expenses caused by life-threatening illnesses. The grief experienced by family for loved ones suffering is often compounded by the costs associated with treatments forcing some to sell the family home to pay for extra time. If you were one of these statistics, what value would you place on having access to the best available treatment to help you in beating a potentially fatal disease? Think about how important it would be to take as much time off work as you needed to recover and not worrying about having enough money to pay the bills. What is trauma insurance?South African heart surgeon Dr Marius Barnard pioneered the idea of trauma insurance when he regularly witnessed his patients’ families struggling with medical costs. The first policies were offered here in the 1980s. Trauma insurance, also known as ‘living insurance’ provides a lump sum payment in the event that you are diagnosed with or suffer one of a range of traumatic conditions such as cancer, heart attack and stroke. Medical advances have meant that our chances of surviving traumatic events are much better than in the past. However, the cost of treatment can sometimes be beyond your normal means. Without insurance cover, you may need to dip into your children’s education fund or your retirement savings; or you might even have to increase your mortgage to pay for expensive treatment. The difference to income protectionImportantly, a trauma payment is not dependent on you being unfit to work (unlike income protection, where you need a doctor to certify your ongoing health). The diagnosis of a traumatic condition might mean that you physically could go to work, but would prefer to spend time with your family and reduce any work-related stress while you recover and consider how your future will be affected. Trauma insurance can provide the financial support to allow this flexibility with your work arrangements. To make sure you don’t increase the statistics, carefully compare the many variations of trauma policies available. There are significant variations in the features between policies such as the number and types of events covered, premium options and ancillary benefits payable. If you require assistance, please contact us today to obtain the right policy for you. This is general information only

Three steps to your children’s financial success

27 January, 202117 September, 2021 Updated on17 September, 2021 Budgeting, Education

For many of us, our first experience of banking and savings was the school Savings Account Program. But in 2019 the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) raised concerns that these accounts had little lasting impact on children’s savings behaviour. All parents want their children to be better-off than they were – more secure and financially independent, but the big question remains: where do you start? Ushering your children toward financial security can be a simple three-step process. Step 1: Create good habits Start early; learning to save is one of life’s great lessons. In an increasingly cash-less society, it can be difficult for children to understand the value of money and how to save. Help them by: Providing a piggy bank for very young children, or a glass jar through which they can see their savings mounting up. Teaching the difference between needs and wants. Lead by example with your own savings habits. Involving them in the household budget; compare prices at the supermarket and demonstrate bill-paying. Paying pocket money for age-appropriate chores and helping them to create a mini-budget, apportioning money to: spending on anything they want. donating to charity to instil a sense of community and empathy, saving for a goal; helpful in teaching kids restraint and how to avoid impulse buys. Step 2: Inform Nothing is free; water in the tap, electricity and even the internet don’t just happen by magic. One of the best ways to teach kids about responsible money handling is to explain debt and the consequences for not meeting financial obligations, which segues neatly into a discussion about personal credit scores. People with better credit scores find seeking finance approval easier and often qualifies them for more advantageous lending deals and better interest rates. Helping kids understand the concept of a credit score can be a little daunting, so try these tips: Brush up on your knowledge first. Try our eLearning section for some great general information. Don’t focus on numbers, explain that it’s about financial behaviour over time. Avoid complexity and keep the information age-relevant. Use examples. Discuss mistakes you’ve made in the past, explain how you rectified them. Step 3: Consider where you’re saving Record-low interest rates have taken the fun out of savings, but don’t let that stop your kids from calculating how much they can earn from the right type of account. The Moneysmart website has savings calculators that kids can play with and learn from. The banking and finance industry offers a plethora of accounts specifically designed to encourage kids to save. Help them research the account that will suit them; consider fees and interest. Additionally, searching online will reveal a range of websites, blogs and apps dedicated to engaging and educating kids about money and savings. Introduce your kids to good habits while they’re young, and you’ll be setting them up for success. Finding the most child-appropriate plans and accounts that specifically suit your child’s needs can be a minefield. Our financial advisers will work with you to assist you to guide your children into a financially secure future. The information provided in this article is general in nature only and does not constitute personal financial advice.

Discovering Your Financial Mindset

2 August, 20232 August, 2023 Education, Finance, Investing

In the quest for financial stability and success, we often focus on tangible elements like earning more money, saving diligently, or investing wisely. But have you ever stopped to consider the role your financial mindset plays in achieving your financial goals. Understanding financial mindset Your financial mindset is a set of beliefs and attitudes you hold about money — how you earn it, save it, spend it, and invest it. This mindset largely influences your financial behaviours, decisions and ultimately your financial success. Each mindset carries a unique perspective about money, influencing your financial decision-making process. There are four common financial mindsets: 1. The Spender enjoys the thrill of the present, often overlooking long-term financial security for immediate gratification. If you frequently find yourself making impulsive purchases, or your credit card balance perpetually outweighs your savings, you may identify with this mindset. 2. The Saver is characterised by frugality and a steady focus on long-term financial security. If you diligently maintain a budget or feel a sense of accomplishment when growing your savings, the Saver mindset most likely resonates with you. 3. The Avoider, often plagued by financial anxiety, tends to shy away from money matters. If you find bills and bank statements overwhelming, or frequently procrastinate financial planning, you likely have an Avoider mindset. 4. The Investor sees money as a tool for wealth creation. If you appreciate the potential of assets and are willing to take calculated risks for future returns, you are most likely aligned with the Investor mindset. Identifying Your Current Financial Mindset So how do you uncover your financial mindset? It begins with self-reflection – Do you often worry about money, or do you feel confident about your financial situation? Are you comfortable taking calculated financial risks, or does the thought of investing scare you? Do you view money as a tool for achieving your dreams, or a necessary evil to be managed? Examining your feelings and behaviours around money can provide valuable insights into your current financial mindset. This process is beneficial because it sets the stage for potential shifts in perspective that can improve your financial life. Once identified, you can analyse your money behaviours, uncover potential blind spots, and take action to optimise your financial decision-making. For instance – If you identify as a Spender, incorporating a budget and automating savings can provide some balance to your financial outlook. Savers could benefit by introducing an element of investment to their financial strategy, allowing their savings to work harder for them. Avoiders must confront their fears and actively engage with their finances, perhaps by seeking professional guidance. While Investors generally have a positive approach, ensuring a balanced portfolio to mitigate risks is essential. Transforming your financial mindset requires commitment, patience, and time. Take it slow and make gradual changes as you grow more comfortable with your changing perspective on money. It’s not just about money; it’s about your attitude towards it. Adjusting your financial mindset means transforming both how you see money and how you engage with it, paving the path to financial success. The information provided in this article is general in nature only and does not constitute personal financial advice.

Quarterly Economic Update: July – September 2020

21 October, 202017 September, 2021 Updated on17 September, 2021 Finance, Investing

COVID-19 remained the big story of the last quarter. Tragically, by the end of September the pandemic had caused over one million deaths. That was up by 500,000 since the end of the previous quarter, and many countries were experiencing devastating ‘second waves’. While most of Australia managed to keep case numbers of coronavirus at very low levels, Victoria provided a case study in the severe human and economic impacts of having the virus escape control. Now it is epidemiologists, rather than economists, that we look to for advice on how to transition to a post-pandemic world. Unemployment ups and downs The official unemployment rate from the Australian Bureau of Statistics was 7.5% in July, but showed a welcome drop to 6.8% in August. Meanwhile, NSW claimed that 70% of jobs initially lost in the pandemic had been restored. However, when JobKeeper, people working zero hours but classified as employed, and a big jump in gig workers are taken into account, the real unemployment rate is much higher. Roy Morgan estimated that the actual unemployment rate is closer to 13.8% and the combined unemployment and under-employment rate is 22.8%. Still, both these figures were down from their peak in late March. Property problems The major property markets of Sydney and Melbourne declined for the fourth month in a row, with the ABS reporting that in the June quarter these major city housing markets dropped by 2.6 and 2.8% respectively. And the outlook for housing construction is none too rosy. Australia relies on immigration to generate the population growth that stimulates construction and supports the prices of existing dwellings. With our borders effectively closed that population growth will either be delayed or will fail to materialise. Rental income is also expected to decline, particularly in markets with a high proportion of overseas students who are unable to return to Australia. The markets After a bit of a rally through July and August the local share market ran out of steam, with the S&P 500 index finishing the quarter down by 1.4%. International markets continued to produce some excitement. Despite weakening a little towards the end of the quarter the MSCI All-Country World Equity Index rose 7.2%. Much of this was attributable to the US market with the S&P500 up 7.6% and the NASDAQ up 10.2%. The Aussie dollar also weakened slightly towards the end of the quarter, finishing flat against the Euro and British Pound, up 2% against the Yen, and up 3.8% (from the high 60s to low 70s) against the US Dollar. The outlook If you thought that interest rates couldn’t go any lower, think again. The RBA has flagged the possibility of a further cut in the cash rate with commentators predicting a cut of 15 basis points to take the rate to just 0.1%. Internationally, the US presidential election could see an increase in market volatility with the final outcome anything but certain. For further information on current market conditions, contact us. The information provided in this article is general in nature only and does not constitute personal financial advice.

The effect of rising inflation

3 August, 202227 July, 2022 Updated on27 July, 2022 Budgeting, Economy

The word ‘inflation’ doesn’t only dominate business news headlines but finds its way into general news reports too. So, what is inflation and how does it affect you? In simple terms, inflation signifies a rise in the price of goods and services, meaning you pay more for every purchase you make. Does the US influence Australia’s inflation rate? It is not a surprise that countries in today’s world are more connected than ever before. Therefore, a rise in US inflation rates will impact the Australian economy too. However, the degree and timing of its impact will vary. For example, a rise in labour costs in the US may have a limited impact on Australians; however, an increase in the price of iPhones or Nike shoes in the US will reflect in their price in Australia too. What will be the impact of rising US inflation on Australia’s economy? Interest rate movements made by the US Federal Reserve Bank (the Fed) are closely monitored by central banks worldwide, including the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Over the past decade, many developed economies, including the US and Australia, have reduced interest rates to boost their economies. With rates rebounding from all-time lows there is an expectation that rates will continue increasing due to the strong performance of those economies. Quite often when the Fed increases its interest rate, Australia is quick to follow suit. The cost of borrowing funds will increase, leading to a rise in the inflation rate, making goods and services more expensive. Rising inflation rates can also negatively impact the Australian dollar, where one AUD buys less USD than it may have done previously. What will be the effect on investors? A rise in inflation affects investment markets negatively due to higher interest rates, volatility in the economy and uncertain share prices. For some investors, rising interest rates mean paying more interest on their home loan, which reduces their disposal income and, in turn reduces their capacity to invest. For retirees, an increase in the price of goods and services at a time of share market volatility can lead to having to sell more of their investment assets (potentially at a loss or reduced profit). Also, there could be uncertainty in dividend income, which many retirees often rely upon. Retiree investors will have fewer years to recover from a drop in their portfolios compared to younger investors. How should you prepare for a rise in inflation? It is important to first analyse your personal cashflow situation to understand where your money goes. Consider fixing at least part your home loan to limit your exposure to rising interest rates. Reconsider new personal loans, such as car loans. Do you need to take on new debt when interest rates are likely to increase? For the risk-taking investor, it can be tempting to invest more money into shares when prices are falling, but always consider averaging your position to avoid market timing risk. For investment purposes, consider having exposure in well established companies “blue chip stocks” vs riskier stock. Investors often find comfort knowing their funds are exposed to good quality companies with strong balance sheets. If the thought of rising inflation leaves you feeling unsettled, be sure to talk to a professional adviser. Your adviser will review your financial position, your ability to meet your financial obligations, as well as identify strategies to outpace inflation. The information provided in this article is general in nature only and does not constitute personal financial advice.

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